Performance evaluation of Monte Carlo simulation: Case study of Monte Carlo approximation vs. analytical solution for a chi-squared distribution

dc.contributor"European Union (EU)" and "Horizon 2020"
dc.contributor.authorOhvril, Hanno
dc.contributor.authorTkaczyk, Alan H
dc.contributor.authorSaari, Peeter
dc.contributor.authorKollo, Tõnu
dc.contributor.authorMauring, Koit
dc.contributor.authorPost, Piia
dc.contributor.authorVilbaste, Martin
dc.contributor.authorVedru, Jüri
dc.contributor.authorIpbüker, Cagatay
dc.date.accessioned2019-11-19T13:19:15Z
dc.date.available2019-11-19T13:19:15Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.description.abstractThe guide to the expression of uncertainty in measurement (GUM) describes the law of propagation of uncertainty for linear models based on the first-order Taylor series approximation of Y = f(X1, X2, …, XN). However, for non-linear models this framework leads to unreliable results while estimating the combined standard uncertainty of the model output [u(y)]. In such instances, it is possible to implement the method(s) described in Supplement 1 to GUM – Propagation of distributions using a Monte Carlo Method. As such, a numerical solution is essential to overcome the complexity of the analytical approach to derive the probability density functions of the output. In this paper, Monte Carlo simulations are performed with the aim of providing an insight into the analytical transformation of the probability density function (PDF) for Y = X2 where X is normally distributed and a detailed comparison of analytical and Monte Carlo approach results are provided. This paper displays how the used approach enables to find PDF of Y = X2 without the use of special functions. In addition, the singularity of the PDF and the nonsymmetric coverage interval are also discussed.et
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10062/66668
dc.language.isoenget
dc.publisherIOP Publishinget
dc.relationCONCERT-TERRITORIESet
dc.relationinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/662287///TERRITORIES
dc.relation.ispartofseriesMeasurement Science and Technology
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccesset
dc.subjectGUMet
dc.subjectUncertainty Estimationet
dc.subjectMonte Carlo methodet
dc.subjectNon-central non-standard chi-squared distributionet
dc.titlePerformance evaluation of Monte Carlo simulation: Case study of Monte Carlo approximation vs. analytical solution for a chi-squared distributionet
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleet

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