Browsing by Author "Alfieri, Luca, juhendaja"
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Item Early warning system for financial crisis: application of random forest(Tartu Ülikool, 2020) Wanyama, Geofrey; Eratalay, Mustafa Hakan, juhendaja; Alfieri, Luca, juhendaja; Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond; Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkondThe study identifies important variables in detecting the likely occurrence of a financial crisis 1 to 3 years from its onset . We do this by implementing random forest on Macroeconomic Historical time series data set for 16 developed countries from 1870-2016. By comparing the misclassification error for logistic regression to that obtained for random forest, we show that random forest outperforms logistic regression under the out-of-sample setting for long historical macroeconomic data set. Using the SMOTE technique, we show that minimising class imbalance in the data set improves the performance of random forest. The results show that important variables for detecting a financial crisis 1 to 3 years from its onset vary from country to country. Some similarities are however also observed. Credit and money price variables for instance emerge as very important predictors across a number of countries.Item The effect of foreign direct investment on productivity: new evidence from CEEs(Tartu Ülikool, 2024) Zhou, Xiaoyue; Alfieri, Luca, juhendaja ; Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond; Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkondItem Financial institutions, exchange rate regimes, and bilateral remittances in Europe(Tartu Ülikool, 2023) Olanrewaju, Dare Stephen; Alfieri, Luca, juhendaja; Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond; Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkondItem Free trade agreements: a concept of FTA density and connectedness(Tartu Ülikool, 2022) Däbritz, Sebastian; Alfieri, Luca, juhendaja; Vahter, Priit, juhendaja; Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond; Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkondItem Millenium data - a quantitative exploratory analysis using regularization models on the UK GDP growth through multi frequency data(Tartu Ülikool, 2023) Melo Silva, Pedro Marco; Alfieri, Luca, juhendaja; Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond; Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond